Sam Altman predicts AGI next year

Plus: AI painting sells for $1M

 

Welcome Humans🤖,

Here is what we have Today:

  • 🔮 AGI in 2025? Sam Altman's been drinking the Kool-Aid

  • 🎸 AI enters Grammys, Beatles say "Yeah Yeah Yeah!"

  • 👀 Baidu's answer to Ray-Ban: Cheaper spy glasses!

  • 🎨 AI painting sells for $1M: Art world shocked!

  • 💼 New Job Opportunities

Sam Altman

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman claims in a recent interview with YCombinator that artificial general intelligence (AGI) will arrive in 2025, despite industry reports of slowing progress in language model development.

Source:Y Combinator

What's Altman's reasoning?

  • Path to AGI is "basically clear"

  • Believes it's now an engineering challenge, not scientific

  • Supported by OpenAI researchers Noam Brown and Clive Chan

  • Points to o1 reasoning model as key breakthrough

What about current progress?

  • 'Orion' model showing smaller improvements over GPT-4

  • Progress slower than previous generations

  • Particularly noticeable in coding tasks

  • New "Foundations Team" formed to tackle data scarcity

Why the confidence?

  • OpenAI currently at level 2 of 5 on AGI scale

  • o1 reasoning model shows new scaling potential

  • Company prioritizing o1 development

  • Altman maintains consistent timeline predictions

What challenges remain?

  • High-quality training data scarcity

  • Need for fundamental breakthroughs

  • Scaling limitations to overcome

  • Industry skepticism about timeline

This prediction could mark the most significant technological leap in human history, potentially transforming society as we know it - if Altman's ambitious timeline proves accurate.

Trending Today
  • 4D Printing is a technology that uses 3D printing to create objects but the difference is the objects can assemble by themselves. The materials labeled as super intelligent are Hydrogen resins, active polymers and live tissues that can transform itself into a shape without assistance.

  • "Now and Then," The Beatles' AI-enhanced final song, released a year ago, just became the first AI-assisted track to receive Grammy nominations — for Record of the Year and Best Rock Performance, competing against artists like Beyoncé and Taylor Swift — marking a historical moment for AI's role in music production.

  • Chinese tech giant Baidu will reportedly launch AI-powered smart glasses equipped with voice and camera capabilities at its upcoming Baidu World event, positioning the product as a competitor to Meta’s Ray-Ban smart glasses at a lower price point.

  • OpenAI VP of Research and Safety Lillian Weng announced she is departing the company after seven years, marking another significant exit from the startup’s leadership.

  • An AI humanoid robot painting of the eminent World War Two codebreaker Alan Turing has sold for $1,084,800 (£836,667) at auction receiving 27 bids in total.

Recommended Reading
If WE had to recommend other newsletters

AI Tool Report is an Newsletter, we enjoy reading daily. AI Tool Report delivers top techniques on how AI can transform your business filled with practical tips, real-world examples.

A Smart Bear is for people who love thinking about strategy, startups, product, marketing, decision-making, and founder psychology.

Job Opportunities
  • Waymo - Field Safety Lead - Apply

  • Meta - Research Engineer, Conversational AI - Reality Labs - Apply

  • Lambda - Engineering Manager - Cloud - Apply

  • Coreweave - Principal Engineer - Apply

  • Grammarly - Principal Product Designer - Apply

AI ART

A young woman in a flight suit and helmet running away from a small drone on Mars.

Source: Ideogram

Ideas? Comments? Complaints?

We read your emails, comments and poll replies daily.

Get the most important AI, tech, and science news in a free daily email.
New Here? Subscribe!
Sponsorship Slots Open for November and Reach over 800+ active readers. (Now 40% off) 🤯

What`d you think of today`s edition?

Login or Subscribe to participate in polls.

Until next time, Stay Informed!

Reply

or to participate.